Thirty-six governors seats are up for election this fall and the crew looks at some where full control of state government might be decided by the governors race. They also consider why Republican senators' votes on convicting former President Donald Trump broke down the way they did. Subscribe and listen Also available wherever you listen to podcasts Google Stitcher iHeartRadio Castbox TuneIn The crew discuss the 2021 gubernatorial elections in Virginia and New Jersey and the very likely recall election in California. send a tweet. Whereas Tester . Since then, the FiveThirtyEight blog has covered a broad spectrum of subjects including politics, sports, science, economics, and popular culture. The director of the Harvard Study of Adult Development -- the longest study of human life ever conducted -- concluded in a new book that close personal relationships are the "one crucial factor [that] stands out for the consistency and power of its ties to physical health, mental health and longevity." heritage commons university of utah. They also debate whether a poll asking Americans to choose what they think is the best decade of their lives is a good or bad use of polling. He has also reported audio documentaries at FiveThirtyEight, including the monthslong series "The Gerrymandering Project." His work has been heard on NPR, WNYC, On The Media, CBC, Wisconsin Public Radio and the University of Cambridge's ELECTION podcast. The crew puts Georgia's new voting laws in context and discusses the challenges facing the Biden administration on immigration policy in the short and long term. They also previewed and caught up on some elections, including Alaskas special election to replace longtime Alaska congressman Don Young that took place this past weekend. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. The crew looks at why it took 15 votes to get Rep. Kevin McCarthy elected House Speaker and what that process says about the two years ahead and the GOP more broadly. The first half of this episode originally aired on November 5, 2018, and was produced by Dan Pashman, Anne Saini, and Aviva DeKornfeld, with editing by Gianna Palmer and mixing by Dan Dzula. Edit your transcribed text. They also ask whether a new poll showing Biden's approval rating at just 33 percent deserves all the attention it's been getting. Rev. They also discuss the recent trend in Senate candidates refusing to debate each other and why Republicans can't agree on what abortion restrictions to pass. It's easy. The crew breaks down a poll that asked Americans to identify from good to evil and lawful to chaotic on the Dungeons and Dragons alignment chart. As Congress considers legislation that would decriminalize marijuana and end the sentencing disparity for crack and cocaine offenses, Galen Druke speaks with FiveThirtyEight contributor Lester Black about what Americans think should be done about drugs and how politicians are responding. The Deluxe version of our model simulates the election 40,000 times to see which party wins the House most often. Overall, more moderate candidates were able to win against challengers from the Right and Left flank of both parties, although there was a sizable protest vote in some instances. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. Then the content will get automatically transcribed. The team also looks at how debates about "Critical Race Theory" entered the culture wars, particularly in schools and state legislatures. At the beginning of the millennium, about two-thirds of Americans opposed same-sex marriage, and a third supported it. They also analyze a new poll from YouGov that breaks down why 78 percent of Americans say they have changed their mind on one or more political issue over the course of their lives. Rev also gives transcribers the autonomy to work for as much or little as they want. Galen and Nate open the mailbag to answer listeners questions about politics, polling and more. In 2021, cities around the country are choosing mayors to try to lead them through a long list of challenges, both pre-existing and brought on by the COVID-19 pandemic. He rejected the presidents requests and has consistently spoken out against conspiracy theories surrounding the election. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. In this installment of Model Talk on the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Nate Silver and Galen Druke are joined by two climate modelers and authors of the latest IPCC report, Friederike Otto and Baylor Fox-Kemper. 450 episodes. 266, the . The crew debates whether the Democratic Party really is actually in disarray as it struggles to pass legislation and faces a difficult midterm year, or if its hurdles are usual for any party in power. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. FiveThirtyEight Filed under Podcast-19 Jun. They also look at mayoral elections, which are taking place in more than two dozen major cities, and special elections for a handful of vacant House seats. American government is designed to have components that are not directly accountable to the public. They also break down how candidate misconduct is generally factored into the FiveThirtyEight model. They also continue to track the types of candidates former President Trump has endorsed in the 2022 Republican primaries. The board of directors voted Friday to accept the resignation of David Held, effective June 1, and will then offer him the same job on . Its a bold suggestion, and in this installment of the podcast we interrogate it. This is the second episode. Former FDA commissioner Scott Gottlieb joins the podcast to discuss Americas unpreparedness for COVID-19 and how the country should prepare for the next pandemic. The Sporkful production team includes Dan Pashman, Emma Morgenstern, Andres O'Hara, Tracey Samuelson, and Jared O'Connell. Today, we wanted to share the first episode of the ABC News podcast series, "In Plain Sight: Lady Bird Johnson," which uncovers the former first lady's surprisingly powerful role in the Johnson presidency and includes history-making revelations about Lyndon B. Johnsons time in office. The U.S. shot down at least three unidentified flying objects over the weekend. If Europe, and of the shop leave us a rating or review in the Apple podcast store when you rating. 91.5 Chapel Hill 88.9 Manteo 90.9 Rocky Mount 91.1 Welcome 91.9 Fayetteville 90.5 Buxton 94.1 Lumberton 99.9 Southern Pines Galen Druke speaks with Equis Research co-founder Carlos Odio about whether that trend continued in the 2022 midterms and what it all means for 2024. Dec. 7, 2017 | Apple Podcasts | ESPN App | RSS 03 / Black Representation In North Carolina The debate over how districts should be drawn to ensure that minority voters are represented in Congress. From host Jody Avirgan (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums, pitches, pools and slopes that shed a light on the ups and downs of being human. New episodes release Tuesdays, Thursdays, and Sundays. They also have a good or bad use of polling on the topic of death and consider whether a recent Facebook hearing will lead to new regulations for the monolithic technology company. The full series is available now on Apple Podcasts (https://apple.co/2QQw8e9), Spotify (https://spoti.fi/3ukYgoq), or wherever you listen by searching "In Plain Sight: Lady Bird Johnson." They also ask whether a sentiment analysis suggesting that the press is more negative on Biden than it was on President Trump is a "good or bad use of data.". The crew discusses two elections in Ohio this week that will test the sway of the establishment in both parties. They also ask whether a recent Gallup poll reporting that a record number of Americans are thriving is a good or bad use of polling. apache saddles amarillo texas shockwave treatment for gallstones in the philippines price They also ask whether the US is in a recession, whether Andrew Yang's third party will succeed and how the DOJ's Jan. 6th investigation is affecting former President Trump. They also consider the causes of hyperinflation, as Democrats and Republicans blame different culprits for the highest rate of inflation in 40 years. The crew dives into four major investigations into former president Donald Trumps actions, the legal consequences he could be facing, and how the American public is reacting. Then, Equis Research co-founder Carlos Odio joins the pod to break down a new poll that asked Latino Americans which party they are favoring in the midterm elections. The crew also discusses how Americans are responding to the administrations handling of the end of the war. Then Nathaniel Rakich and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux join to discuss how abortion has played a role in elections this year and when we should know the results of next months midterms. Please subscribe to the Dow-ballot on Apple Podcasts and leave . In the 2020 election cycle, Georgia found itself at the center of the American political universe. The crew discusses why the number of independents has been growing and what it means for American politics. Nate Silver is back from his book research/poker trip to Las Vegas, and in this installment, he sits down with Galen Druke to answer listener questions and talk about what he learned on the strip. The crew discusses Manchins rationale and where Democrats might go from here. On the Conversations with Tyler podcast, produced by the Mercatus Center at George Mason University, celebrated polymath and academic economist Tyler Cowen explores the minds and methods of today's top thinkers. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Latino voters swung by eight percentage points toward President Trump in the last election, the largest swing of any racial or ethnic group in the electorate. The crew discusses the races to watch in 2023. Why 10 Republicans Voted For Impeachment 300 views about 2 years ago 34:52 The crew discusses how Liz Cheney and Madison Cawthorn's primaries serve as a test of what the Republican Party and its voters will and wont accept. A year later, Trump still appears to be the de facto leader of the party. It was his first big national speech since the midterms and a preview of his likely 2024 reelection bid. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss what's behind the recent movement in the forecast and answer questions from listeners. They also review the mostly finalized congressional maps for the cycle and discuss new polling on American polarization. FiveThirtyEight's political content often includes fact-driven statistical analysis. Together they describe why the war has not turned out as originally expected, what the risks of escalation are today and how the conflict might come to an end. In this installment of Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss the news events and polling that have contributed to that change. They also discuss Bidens sweeping vaccine mandate -- how Americans feel about vaccine mandates in general, how effective they are and if Bidens is legal. They also break down the governor's race in New Jersey and other elections around the country. The crew debates why politicians break with their parties in high-profile ways and what the repercussions can be. My mid-week morning train WFH reads: The SPAC Fad Is Ending in a Pile of Bankruptcies and Fire Sales: At least eight businesses that went public through mergers with "blank-check" companies have sought protection from creditors. They also discuss the accuracy of opinion polling conducted in authoritarian Russia and war-torn Ukraine. The crew debates the value of polling whether Americans want Biden and Trump to run again in 2024. They also analyze the court's other recent rulings on gun restrictions and school prayer and preview some of Tuesday's biggest primary elections. The crew discusses what the future of the Build Back Better bill might look like in the Senate and why the provisions in the bill are more popular than the bill itself. The crew talks about the threat of a government shutdown and debt default, as well as how likely it is that Democrats get their legislative priorities passed. Cardozo Law Professor Kate Shaw discusses that evidence and its legal ramifications. Join. Transcript: Ezra Klein Interviews Ta-Nehisi Coates and Nikole Hannah-Jones July 30, 2021 Every Tuesday and Friday, Ezra Klein invites you into a conversation about something that matters, like. Trump Is Setting A Dangerous Precedent For American Democracy 240 views With midterm elections in the rearview mirror, Galen and Nate open up the mail bag to answer lingering questions about the results. FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast | Free Listening on Podbean App FiveThirtyEight Politics https://feeds.megaphone.fm/ESP8794877317 Follow Share 13.5k Followers 200 Episodes Category: Politics Last Update: 2023-02-21 Claim Ownership This is the final FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast episode of the Trump presidency. It's a busy week! Nevada Democrats introduced a bill on Monday that would change their state's presidential nominating contest from a caucus to a primary and also dislodge New Hampshire from its position as the first primary in the nation. Our tool analyzes your audio using Google voice recognition. As of Monday, all U.S. troops have withdrawn from Afghanistan following a chaotic evacuation from the country. Just another site fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. They also debate whether the AARP is correct in assessing that women voters over the age of 50 are likely to decide the outcome of the 2022 midterms. My theme song for the "What's the Point" podcast from FiveThirtyEight, a podcast about our data age. The crew discusses how Bidens approval rating may impact the midterm election, whether tracking Google search terms over time is a better barometer than traditional polling, and how Black voters are changing the political landscape of Georgia. What role do Liz Cheney-type Republicans have to play in the future of the GOP (if any)? Feb. 25, 2021. info. About 32 million Americans get summoned for jury duty each year. New York City-based political reporters Gloria Pazmino and Erin Durkin discuss the current lay of the land in the Democratic mayoral primary and the issues that are motivating voters with less than a month until the election. Politics Podcast: Could Nikki Haley Actually Win The GOP Nomination? 9 days ago. The crew tries to unpack whats driving Democrats legislative decisions and who will have to compromise to pass the party's agenda. Tucker Carlson Has Exclusive Access To Jan. 6th Security Tapes. The crew discusses how the other nine Republicans are faring in their bids to win reelection and debate whether CNNs new polling methodology is a good or bad use of polling. Two days after Election Day, control of the U.S. House and Senate still hangs in the balance as votes are tallied in the Western states. And they look at the experiences of urban Republicans and rural Democrats in a country increasingly sorted geographically and politically. In this show, Jody Avirgan, Nicole Hemmer and Kellie Carter Jackson (and guests) take one moment, big or small, from that day in U.S. political history and explore how it might inform our present -- all in about fifteen minutes. Galen Druke speaks with political science professors Sunshine Hillygus and Patrick Eagan about the history of wedge issues and how they shape U.S. politics. They also consider whether abortion as an issue will motivate voters in other elections this fall and look at the primary winners in Arizona, Missouri, Michigan and Washington. We speak with journalist Sasha Issenberg about how that happened. The crew discusses the arguments Biden laid out and where he stands with American voters two years into his presidency. New rules for the baseball season, Richard Belzer dies and more prison for Harvey Weinstein and R. Kelly | Bonus sports & entertainment episode.
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