dr ali binazir odds of being born

If I had 400 trillion pennies to my name, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. on May 07, 2020: Rupert, in spite of too many odds in a probability, bottom line is that it is just 2 numbers of the roulette, black and red. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001." What it Took For You to Exist That's a pretty straightforward calculation. Xahej (ZAH-edge) "Xi" Bajipura she/her/Ms. If you need to flag this entry as abusive. Step 1. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: one in 400 quadrillion. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: one in 2000. Post your query OR Review in below comment box. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. The probability that you came about and exist today is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water into the middle of that life preserver. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is one in 400 quadrillion. Check out my course, The RecovHer Freedom Breakthrough at the top of the page. Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? So what's the probability of your being born? Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. We're about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. Get ready to have your socks blown off, ya beautiful miracle, you. Borels Law says such a number means something is impossible, and yet, its not. The chances of them talking to one another is 1 in 10. What Does Jesus Mean When He Says We Must Be Salted with Fire. One night, perhaps, the same dream, grown hazy by morning. Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. The conclusion: The odds that you exist at all are basically zero., He illustrates it this way: It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. So the probability of your parents chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. Miebakagh Fiberesima from Port Harcourt, Rivers State, NIGERIA. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: one in 400 quadrillion. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. Further, they would not have existed if their parents had not existed and met, and so on. Otherwise they'd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. Yes, youre here all right, and math can barely account for your existence, so tiny are the odds; but God has overseen every detail and knew you long before you were born. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? To complete the analysis: (102,640,000) (1045,000) (40,000,000) = 4 x 102,685,007 102,685,000. In it, she mentioned that scientists calculate the probability of your existing as you, today, at about one in 400 trillion (410 14). So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. Who knows, maybe the ball that vanished into childhood's thicket? If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. Not quite ready yet To become their Destiny, it pushed them close, drove them apart, it barred their path,stifling a laugh,and then leaped aside. Heres a thought experiment to help illustrate the unbelievably huge size of these numbers. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. But, despite your being an extremely wonderful person, such a statement is wildly inaccurate. The chances of your specific sperm meeting your specific egg? The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. He calculated that an average human could expect to experience such an occurrence once every 35 days. They each roll the dice -- and they all come up the exact same number -- say, 550,343,279,001. Think of how strong our ancestors had to be to allow us to eat a sandwich or sing Happy Birthday. Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. Are You a Miracle? I have one baby so far, but Im still fertile, according to science. By that definition, I've just proven that you are a miracle. Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. To be more specific, its probably 1 in 102,640,000. However, your existence presupposes another supremely unlikely chain of events. The numbers are getting plenty huge as it is. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is one in 400 quadrillion. Thats a ridiculously huge number. An unimaginably long time. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. If you assume there are 3 billion women and 3 billion men alive today, that means 3 x 10^14 eggs and 3.6 x 10^22 sperm are currently on the planet, for a total of 1.1 x 10^37 possible pairings. When you do the math, which I didnt but Dr. Binazir did: That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion.. Onward to freedom! So to the second question: how accurate is this number? First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. When expanded it provides a list of search options that will switch the search inputs to match the current selection. Or are we some mysterious combination of impossible and inevitable? I am only publishing a small number of his musings, but you can read his full article here: What Are the Chances of You Being Born?. If there is only one outcome then the probability is 1/1=1. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. Which one's bigger? The first single-cell organism emerging from an inanimate chemical soup is not something that could have happened by chance. Well then, that would be one in 2150,000 , which is about 1 in 1045,000 a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. Its almost too big to process, just know that the odds that you exist at all are basically zero. A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull.. One of the talks was by Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author and life coach with a syndicated radio show. The odds of you existing have been calculated by Dr. Ali Binazir. Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. In 1943, the distinguished French mathematician mile Borel developed a law about probabilities that stated events with a sufficiently small probability never occur (Institute of Mathematical Statistics). In other words, when seen in the aggregate, that probability is simply stating that it is very hard to predict _who_ will exist and not that someone will. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. As a comparison, the approximate number of atoms in the known universe is 10. I was alerted to a fascinating article by Ali Binazir, who sets forth mathematically the probably that each of us exists. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001. Its so unlikely, its almost impossible that youre here and taking a breath right now. He attended the Ted Talk and wrote about it afterward, doing his own calculations on how likely your existence is. "It is a part of probability that many improbable things will happen.. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe its larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. 2023 The Arena Media Brands, LLC and respective content providers on this website. Thats three billion years, or about 150,000 generations, of reproduction without a hitch. Step 2. 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age, going back about 150,000 generations to the origin of man. That is incredibly unlikely to the point of impossible. I met a couple of interesting people at a casual meet-up and the topic of the day was a good life. We were not born by accident given the odds calculated by scientists showing the odds of you being born are at least 1 in 400 trillion IF NOT 1 in 400 quadrillion and most likely 1 in 10.2,640,000. The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible. The odds of being born are less than the total number of atoms in the known universe! But even if you dont believe in that, the science is enough. By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. Thats a number so huge it hurts to think about it. Mirabile visu (Wondrous to behold)! Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. Or is it possible that they are underestimates of the true number? Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: one in 2000. Scripture says. Thus, the probability of your existing at all is about 1 in 102,685,000. How fast does a laden fly fly? Thus, my existence depends on a vast number of meetings going just right; if they hadnt I would never have been born. Then, I hope and believe, that He has written my name on the palm of His hand, so whenever He looks at His hand, He thinks of me. Or, the total number of seconds that have elapsed since the Big Bang is 10x 16 th power. What are the odds of that? (+ My podcast interview on raising your spirits), Staying Sane in Trying Times Seminars, Apr 22-25, WED FEB 19: The 5 Magic Questions What 5000 Womens Letters Reveal About Love & Dating, How often should you call him? May 20, 2021; linda hunt commercials; nail salon in publix plaza near me . I bet the odds of becoming a millionaire in Zambia, where I lived for one year, is less than 1%. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? On my birthday, I had a strangely pertinent thought: what's the probability of being born? Why? What impresses me is that at the moment our parents came together to form us, the Creator of the Universe stopped what He was doing to give, to each and every one of us, a soul unique to itself. You get the volume of planet Earth. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. Let's say a life preserver's hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside about 0.5 square meter. Regardless of your skin color, country of origin, body size, religion, gender, or view point, WE ALREADY MADE IT HERE. The chances of that turning into another meeting is about 1 in 10. On my birthday, I had a strangely pertinent thought: what's the probability of being born? Gamblers always play the odds; their lives revolve around probabilities, and that has led many into dark places. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, "The answer is 500 squintillion," we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. These links dont impose any extra cost on you, and they help support the free content I provide here. He attended the Ted Talk and wrote about it afterward, doing his own calculations on how likely your existence is. On one try. Scott and Janice Huse, in their 1997 book The Collapse of Evolution, state that It is very significant to note that mathematicians generally consider that any event with a probability of one chance [in] 10^50 as having a zero probability (i.e. They each roll the dice and they all come up with. They'd be amazed to hear that Chance has been toying with them now for years. It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. He was a funny guy. Ty Webb, Caddyshack, which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. Part of HuffPost Wellness. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. Part of HuffPost Wellness. By that definition, Ive just proven that you are a miracle. Are they gross exaggerations? They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same number for example, 550,343,279,001. Dr. Ali Binazir. So now we must account for those 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000 power: That's a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes the size of my book. (Just dont blow up your car trying to have the exhaust be blue smoke like I saw on that viral video, or set any forests on fire, lets keep it safe, kids.). Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 1 in 2. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. So now we must account for that for 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000th power: Thats a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes of a book the size of mine with zeroes. Lets confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10 of the worlds population twenty years go (one tenth of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. Similarly, Dr. Ali Binazir, in his article for The Huffington Post, has a clever calculation that resulted in his estimate that the probability of being born is 1 in 10 2,685,000 . This is similar to the probability of any one star turning super-nova. it is impossible)., The astronomer Sir Fred Hoyle illustrated this with his Junkyard Tornado Theory: The chance that higher life forms might have emerged in this way is comparable to the chance that a tornado sweeping through a junkyard might assemble a Boeing 747 from the materials therein.. To say that someone or something is contingent is to say that the existence of same is not inevitable but rather can only come about based on a number of previous things being true in a chain of being or causality.

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